Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac produced profitable third quarter financial results consistent with recent trends. The government-sponsored enterprises released third-quarter results last week, with Fannie Mae reporting a $4 billion quarterly profit and Freddie Mac reporting $3.1 billion in net income.
Home sales are on the decline despite lower mortgage rates and increasing supply, with the latest projections indicating a 30-year low for this year. Real estate brokerage Redfin reported that existing home sales fell 3.1 percent year over year in August to their lowest mark since May 2020, when the pandemic brought the housing market to a standstill. Removing that month, August sales were the lowest since 2012.
Several reports released in the past week may give mortgage underwriters and processors a reason to feel more optimistic about the possibility of more potential borrowers in the near future. The bottom line in recent data is that buying a home is slowly becoming more affordable due to a combination of lower mortgage rates and slower growth in home values.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) issued housing goals for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac over the next three years. The proposed rule would establish the following benchmark levels that Fannie and Freddie would be required to meet annually between 2025 and 2027:
An increase in tappable home equity and falling mortgage rates has many industry analysts optimistic about the potential refinance market. However, others caution that consumers are becoming more cautious about taking on more debt due to escalating costs of home ownership. Technology and data provider Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Inc. reported in its latest ICE Mortgage Monitor Report that tappable home equity reached a new high of $11.5 trillion in June, more than 9 percent above the same period a year ago.
Republican members of the House Subcommittee on Housing, Community Development, and Insurance, have asked the director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) to be more involved in the approval of new products issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The group sent a letter earlier this month to FHFA Director Sandra Thompson urging the newly confirmed director to finalize a rule titled “Prior Approval of Enterprise Products.”
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Freddie Mac announced that it will consider on-time rent payments as part of its mortgage loan purchase decisions. The option will be available on July 10 through the Freddie Mac Loan Product Advisor (LPA) automated underwriting system.
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Fannie Mae economists expect increasing inflation and higher interest rates to further weigh on economic growth and home sales this year. Fannie’s Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group has downgraded previous estimates for economic growth, home sales and mortgage originations for 2022.
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The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has published another final rule related to the Enterprise Regulatory Capital Framework (ERCF). Last week, FHFA released a final rule, proposed in December 2021, that requires Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to submit annual capital plans to the agency and provide notice prior to taking certain capital actions.
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Economists at Fannie Mae are becoming increasingly pessimistic about home sales, mortgage origination volume and the overall economy over the next two years. Fannie’s Economic and Strategic Research Group released its May commentary last week, in which it significantly downgraded previous forecasts for GDP, home sales and mortgage originations.
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Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac reported mixed results on their first quarter financial reports. While Freddie Mac reported year-over-year and quarter-to-quarter increases in net income, Fannie Mae’s results were lower in the first quarter of 2022 than in the previous quarter and in the first quarter of 2021.
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Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac forecast the housing market to remain “solid” and “resilient” for the near term, but higher mortgages, inflation and a possible recession next year will slow the market down the road. Both of the enterprises released economic forecasts last week that continue previous warnings of declining mortgage volume.
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The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) released a proposed rule earlier this month that would add a 40-year loan modification option to its loss mitigation options. Currently, mortgagees can modify an FHA insured mortgage by recasting the total unpaid loan for a 30-year term to cure a borrower’s default. The proposed rule would enable mortgagees to recast an unpaid loan to a 40-year term.
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The number of mortgage loans in forbearance continue to trend downward since peaking in May 2020, but remain higher than pre-pandemic levels. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) recently released its fourth quarter 2021 Foreclosure Prevention and Refinance Report. The report shows that, as of December 31, 2021, there were 178,019 enterprise loans in forbearance, representing 0.59 of Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s single-family book of business.
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Mortgage lenders and potential buyers are feeling pessimistic about the near term housing market, according to a pair of recent Fannie Mae surveys. About 75 percent of mortgage lenders responding to Fannie’s first-quarter Mortgage Lender Sentiment Survey® (MLSS) expect profit margins to decrease in the next three months.
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Written By: Stacey Sprain
As an FHA originator, processor or underwriter, it’s likely that in the ongoing foreclosure market you’ll run across a HUD REO loan at some point. The purpose of this multi-part article is to provide you with some useful information to help in your endeavors.